Try again, fellas.

By 53-35, voters think that the policies of the Democratic leadership in Congress would take the country in the right direction. That’s just about the reverse of the figures for the Republican leadership, and a huge swing since early August, when the Republicans’ policies scored even on that question and Democrats’ policies below even. So I doubt that trying to scare the voters with Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid is going to work.

Somehow, I doubt the Republicans are likely to have much luck with their “But you wouldn’t really want [shudder] Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid to be in charge of Congress, would you?” pitch.

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Oct. 13-15, 2006. N=1,012 adults nationwide.

“Do you think the policies being proposed by the Republican leaders in the U.S. House and Senate would move the country in the right direction or the wrong direction?” Half sample, MoE ± 4.5

                          Right     Wrong

August 2-3           43         43

October 13-15     36         53

“Do you think the policies being proposed by the Democratic leaders in the U.S. House and Senate would move the country in the right direction or the wrong direction?” Half sample, MoE ± 4.5

                          Right     Wrong

August 2-3           41         44

October 13-15     53         35

Via Polling Report.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com

3 thoughts on “Try again, fellas.”

  1. The problem with trying to scare voters with the specter of Nancy Pelosi is that most voters have no idea who she is, and name recognition is an essential criterion for effective bugbearhood.

  2. On second thought, maybe the idea is that there are enough sexists out there that the appeal can work as long as the bugbear's name is recognizably female — that much of the public will recoil in horror from the prospect of having a woman as a leader, even if they know nothing about her. Fortunately that doesn't seem to be true.

  3. Equally interesting is CNN's Aug. 30 poll ( http://www.pollingreport.com/bush.htm ): "Do you think it would be good for the country or bad for the country if the Democrats in Congress were able to conduct official investigations into what the Bush Administration has done in the past six years?" "Good" won by 57-41.

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