Iowa tightens further; Kerry gains in NH.
Jan 14-16
3-day moving average
Dean 28 (even)
Clark 22 (-1)
Kerry 18 (+2)
Edwards 8 (+2)
Lieberman 6 (-1)
Gephardt 3 (even)
Kucinich 1 (even)
Undecided 14 (-2)
ARG reports that Clark is gaining among independents but not among Democrats, while Kerry and Edwards are gaining among both groups.
National Democrats
Jan 13-15
Dean 22 (even)
Clark 17 (-1)
Kerry 10 (+1)
Lieberman 10 (+2)
Gephardt 9 (-1)
Edwards 8 (+1)
Sharpton 6 (even)
Kucinich 1% (-1)
Not Sure 17 (+2)
Kerry 23(-1)
Dean 22 (+3)
Gephardt 19 (even)
Edwards 18 (+1)
Clark 3 (even)
Kucinich 2 (-1)
Lieberman 1 (even)
Sharpton 1 (even)
Undecided 11 (12)
Iowa electronic markets winner-take-all nomination contract:
Dean 51.5-52.5 (bid up 1.5)
Clark 20.3-20.7 (bid down 2.1)
Kerry 11.9-12.5 (up 2.6)
ROF (includes Edwards) 8.7- 11 (down 0.1)
Gephardt 3.6-4.1 (even)
Lieberman 1.4-1.6 (up 0.2)
Clinton 1.2-1.5 (up 0.2)
Dean 53-54.6 (bid up 4)
Field (includes Clark) 22.5- 25 (bid down 2.5)
Kerry 13.3-15.8 (down 3.7)
Edwards 5.9- 7.3 (up 1.4)
Clinton 2.6-3 (even)
Gephardt 2.5-4.0 (even)
Lieberman 1.0-1.8 (up 0.2)