Clark and Dean each down a point, Kerry up a point in NH: now 28-23-17. Kerry pulling ahead, Dean fading in Iowa: still a four-way race.
Jan 13-15
3-day moving average
Dean 28 (-1)
Clark 23 (-1)
Kerry 16 (+1)
Lieberman 7 (-2)
Edwards 5 (+1)
Gephardt 3 (-1)
Kucinich 1 (even)
Undecided 17(+1)
ARG reports that women defecting from Dean are headed into Kerry’s column.
National Democrats
Jan 13-15
Dean 22 (+1)
Clark 18 (-1)
Gephardt 10 (-1)
Kerry 9% (even)
Lieberman 8 (+)
Edwards 7 (-1)
Sharpton 6 (+1)
Mosely-Braun 3% (+1)
Kucinich 2% (+1)
Not Sure 15 (-1)
Kerry 24(+2)
Dean 19 (-2)
Gephardt 19 (-2)
Edwards 17 (even)
Clark 3 (even)
Kucinich 2 (even)
Lieberman 1 (even)
Sharpton 1 (even)
Undecided 13 (+2)
Iowa electronic markets winner-take-all nomination contract:
Dean 50-51.8 (bid down 9.8)
Clark 22.4-23.7 (bid down 0.6)
Kerry 9.3-10.7 (up 5.6)
ROF (includes Edwards) 8.8- 9.9 (up 2.6)
Gephardt 3.6-4.8 (down 1.2)
Lieberman 1.5-1.9 (down 0.8)
Clinton 1.2-1.5 (up 0.2)
Dean 49-50 (bid down 4)
Field (includes Clark) 25.0-28 (bid down 2.5)
Kerry 17-18.9 (up 9)
Edwards 4.5-5.9 (up 0.4)
Clinton 2.6-3 (even)
Gephardt 2.5-2.9 (down 0.6)
Lieberman 0.8-1.6 (up 0.1)