Today’s numbers

Clark loses another point and Dean gains one in NH; now 36%-19%; nationally, Dean loses 3 to 21%, Clark gains one to 17%.

ARG New Hampshire tracking

Dean 36 (+1)

Clark 19 (-1)

Kerry 10 (even)

Lieberman 10 (+1)

Gephardt 4 (even)

Edwards 3 (even)

Kucinich 1 (-1)

Undecided 17 (even)

Rasmussen national tracking

Dean 21 (-3)

Clark 17 (+1)

Gephardt 9 (+1)

Lieberman 8 (-1)

Edwards 8 (+1)

Kerry 8 (+1)

Moseley-Braun 5 (+1)

Sharpton 4 (even)

Kucinich 1 (-1)

Not Sure 18 (even)

Iowa electronic markets winner-take-all nomination contract:

Dean 63.8-67.6 (bid up 0.8)

Clark 18.1-19.2 (bid down 1.7)

Gephardt 5.2- 7.2 (up 0.3)

Kerry 3.2- 4.2 (down 0.9)

Clinton 2.5- 2.7 (even)

Lieberman 0.8- 1.0 (up 0.1)

ROF 3.9- 4.7 (up 1.2)

Tradesports

Dean 60.5-64.0 (bid down 3.3)

Field (includes Clark) 23.3-26.0 (bid up 1.1)

Gephardt 2.5- 4.0 (up 0.5)

Clinton 2.6-3.0 (even)

Edwards 2.5-3.8 (up 1)

Kerry 2.0- 3.9 (even)

Lieberman 1.4-2.0 (even)

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com