Pleasant reading

Southern Political Report counts Ford and Webb as likely winners.
And it says Judy Feder is a toss-up to finally retire Frank Wolf.
Here’s hoping.

Do the editors of the Southern Political Report know something the rest of us don’t? I sure hope so.

With two weeks to go before the election, SPR’s best guess is that the Southern Democrats will probably gain one governorship (AR), two US Senate seats (TN & VA), eight US House seats (FL 13, 16 & 22; KY 3 & 4; NC 11; TX 22 & VA2) — and we rate three more as toss-ups (KY2, NC8 & VA10).

Note that VA-10 is Judy Feder, Dean of Public Policy at Georgetown, against Frank Wolf. That’s a race where finite amounts of money could make a difference.

Policy wonks of the world, unite! You have nothing to lose but your speadsheets! You have a world to optimize!

Or something.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com

3 thoughts on “Pleasant reading”

  1. Not to be overly cynical about recent polls showing huge Dem gains, but the Rovemeister's comments on NPR the other evening about "we've got the polls" showing Repubs holding the House and Senate should not be dismissed as "rallying the base", or other such pre-election cliches. If history has taught us anything since Nov 2000, it has been the ability of Repubs to do what is necessary – legal or otherwise – to gain and keep control of the election process, and to ensure that their candidates WILL WIN that should worry everyone who is hoping or expecting that the long, national nightmare of the Cheney regime is slowing unwinding. Do not expect an orderly transition to a Democratic House, let alone the Senate, regardless of what exit polls or "projected winners" would show Election Evening – these guys just won't accede to "popular will" without first burning down the house, count on it.

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