Obama ahead in NJ?

According to the 5pm exit polls, he is.

My Well-Plugged-In Friend has the 5pm exit numbers from the East and the Midwest. They show Obama noticeably ahead in New Jersey(!). Again, he needs a substantial edge today to make up for HRC’s edge in the early votes. But winning Jersey would be a big, big deal.

Update The betting markets now show a big edge for Obama in California, but he’s only 21 offered in NJ. If I were a betting man, I might take a little of that action.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com