Not looking good

Moqtada al-Sadr seems to be gaining politically even as we’re hurting his militias militarily.

Scott Wilson in the Washington Post is downbeat about the current fighting in Iraq. On Wilson’s account, we have not actually isolted Sadr politically. AP’s Hamza Hedwawi seems equally pessimistic; he says fighting while the senior ayatollahs are talking is winning Sadr support.

It looks as if we chose to compromise in Fallujah and to fight in the south, and neither course of action really worked out very well.

I can’t find anyone who puts a better face on matters; if you can, send me the link.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com