Not Bad for a Start

The Newsweek poll [*] has Clark out front among the Democrats, though they’re tightly bunched: Clark 14, Dean 12, Lieberman 12, Kerry 10, Gephardt 8. Newsweek also has Clark within four points of Bush, 47-43 with 10% undecided. Kerry trails by five, which on a sample this small is virtually an identical result, but Dean is still down by fourteen, 52-38.

Pollingreport gives some numbers from the same poll not in the Newsweek story: Al Gore actually does slightly better than Clark, trailing only 48-45. [*] Given Gore’s relentlessly negative press, that strikes me as an astonishing result, and not a healthy sign for Bush if Clark proves to be a credible candidate. When asked, “In general, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected to another term as president, or not?” the noes had it 50-44.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com