No surprise in Mississippi

At least, that’s the way I read the oracle.

Update Confirmed. The nets called it for Obama before any actual results were in, which must mean that it was a substantial win. He seems to have gotten 91% of the black vote and 28% of the white vote. The racial split was 52-48 white, with lots of Republicans crossing over to vote for Clinton. (Racists or dittoheads? We report, you decide.)

That should give Obama just under 58% of the total, and 19 of the 33 delegates. I had conservatively figured 55% (18 delegate votes), so The Math just got a tiny bit easier.

Second update It gets better: 60%-38%. That ought to mean 20 delegate votes.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com