Newsweek poll shows Kerry ahead

A thirteen-point swing to Kerry since the RNC.

The Newsweek poll, which showed Kerry trailing by 11 points in a three-way race just after the Republican Convention and by six points a week later, now (in a survey taken entirely after the debate) shows Kerry up by 2. Head-to-head, Kerry has gone from down 11 to down 5 to up three.

So much for the inevitability of Bush’s re-election. The Tradesports odds have shifted from 2 to 1 against Kerry a few days ago to 3 to 2 today.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com