Looks as if they did it

The Obama website has the “magic number” down to 10; DemConWatch has it at 12. That means that Montana and South Dakota will formally seal the deal tonight.

The superdelegates have been rolling in all day, including several defectors from the Clinton camp. The Obama site’s “magic number” is now down to 10; DemCon watch has it at 12. That many are sure to come from South Dakota and Montana. So the Obama camp timed it right; voters, not superdelegates, will put him over the top.

Whatever happens from here on out, this primary campaign will be one for the textbooks.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com