Liveblogging the midterms, Part IV

I might not have to slit my throat after all.

The Senate is a lost cause, and the Georgia and (probably) Florida governorships have gone the wrong way, but a couple of good results in the House have turned the 538 model to a 2/3 chance of Democratic control, while the NYT reports >95% and predicts 231 Democratic seats (+34) based on a popular-vote margin of almost 9.5%.

That means two years of investigating Republican misconduct, and in particular Adam Schiff having Mueller’s back.

Now if we can just take out Kobach and Walker …

Kobach has now officially lost. That makes up for a lot.

And 538 is now calling it 90% likely that the Democrats take the House.

Jared Polis has been elected Governor of Colorado.

Spanberger beat Dave Brat in Virginia.


Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact:

One thought on “Liveblogging the midterms, Part IV”

  1. Thank you for not slitting your throat.

    If you find that you have time on your hands now that you’ve decided to not die, I would be interested in seeing a transcript of that talk you gave. I have a very short attention span for online video. That’s the sort of thing I maybe should be embarrassed about, but so far I am not.

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