Good turnout in Cleveland

Should beat 2008 level easily.

Per Craig Timberg of the Washington Post, Cuyahoga County, which includes Cleveland, is voting smoothly.

2008 turnout: 61% of registered voters.
Early voting this year: 27%
Live voting by 2:30 today: 23%.

As a rule of thumb, about 40% of the live vote happens in the morning, 20% during the day, and the last 40% in the evening. (Ohio polls stay open until 7:30.) So Cuyahoga could be on track to about 65%. Not so bad.

Betfair odds are now 9/2, pushing the probability of returning to the Dark Ages down to 18%.


LA Times reports smooth, heavy voting statewide in Ohio.

Second update Per Greg Sargent, Obama camp says it’s hitting its turnout targets in VA as well, including the campus vote.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact:

One thought on “Good turnout in Cleveland”

  1. So Cuyahoga could be on track to about 65%. Not so bad.

    Wow. 65% is killer. That’s crackin’ crackers good.
    No doubt many of your readers saw this Waldman piece:

    Here is the money quote:

    The highest voter turnout in the post-war period was in 1960, when 63.8 percent of the voting-eligible population came to the polls. It did decline slightly for a few years thereafter, but it went back up over 60 percent in 1992, then fell to its lowest post-war point (52.6 percent) in 1996, an election in which things were going well in the country, reducing any particular sense of urgency, and most critically, one candidate led comfortably throughout (one of the things that gets people to the polls is a close race). But then turnout increased in 2000, increased again in 2004, and increased again in 2008. The turnout of 61.6 percent in 2008 was the highest since 1964.

Comments are closed.