Obama’s suddenly up in the betting markets. What’s up with that?
… Obama is up 6 points on the day in the betting markets, putting him above even money for the first time since New Hampshire (52 bid, 52.4 offered). I can’t find any surprising poll results, so I think someone knows something I don’t. Maybe it’s the leaked exit poll showing a dead heat in Massachusetts? Or the sentence from the AP story on early exit results saying that HRC’s edge among women was smaller today than in the early primary states? (Of course, Obama is going to need better than an even split in exit poll results to make up for HRC’s edge in the early voting.)
Author: Mark Kleiman
Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out.
Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken)
When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist
Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993)
Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989)
View all posts by Mark Kleiman