Nate Silver:
“With fewer than ten days to go until the election, John McCain is another day older and deeper in the polls.”
Nate Silver points out the basic fact of the campaign from here.
With fewer than ten days to go until the election, John McCain is another day older and deeper in the polls.
Any day in which John McCain doesn’t close a full percentage point of the gap is a lost day for him. And it’s hard to see how he makes any significant news, especially if he can’t get any more coherent than he was on Meet the Press. Not a good hand to have to play.
From the good-guy side, this is our best chance for a blow-out since Goldwater-Johnson. Let’s not waste it.
Author: Mark Kleiman
Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out.
Books:
Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken)
When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist
Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993)
Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989)
UCLA Homepage
Curriculum Vitae
Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com
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