A Category 5 election?

… strong enough to break the gerrymander levees?

Cautiously, political experts are beginning to wonder whether the anti-Republican backlash visible in the polling numbers might be enough to overcome the power of the gerrymander:

Republicans have done a good job building levees, but we haven’t seen them tested in a Category 5 storm.

Now would be a good time to write next year’s check to the DCCC, or to your favorite Democratic challenger for a Republican-held seat.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com