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A survey on American attitudes to climate change consistently gives self-contradictory results.
Archive for the ‘Polling’ Category
December 24th, 2012
October 23rd, 2012
In repeatedly talking about “nation building here at home,” Obama tapped into the one feeling ardently held by American voters that is unmentionable in polite company: moderate isolationism.
July 19th, 2012
Category: Polling
Libertarian Candidate Gary Johnson’s website boasts that the third-party candidate is “polling nationally from 2.4% to 9% and various states have him polling up to 15%”. Like polls of the support of countless minor political candidates in the past, these numbers are almost certainly wrong, for an intriguing statistical reason. Imagine a poll about a [...]
September 3rd, 2011
Category: Political Science, Polling
How often in your life have you heard a political commentator say something like “Well 50% of Americans may disapprove of the job the President is doing, but he is still better off than Members of Congress, of whom 70% of Americans disapprove”? Countless op-eds, essays and news stories travel the same lines. Typically, they [...]
October 30th, 2010
The polling for Tuesday looks grim, and it’s probably right. But it might be wrong. So brace yourself for a bad night, but don’t despair.
October 13th, 2010
There are two houses of Congress — and this year, that means that there are two different midterms.
April 12th, 2010
Category: MSM (mainstream media), Polling
Ed Kilgore points out that a lot of the predictions of a rout in November rely on double-counting voter enthusiasm.