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That helps explain why, even with inflation, inflation expectations, and short-term interest rates all very low, long-term interest rates have stayed up: since January 2001, the interest rate on three-month Treasury bills is down from from 5.5% to 1.25% -- a drop of 425 basis points -- but 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates are down only 110 basis points, from 7.25% to 6.15%. Long-term rates are naturally less volatile than short-term rates, so one wouldn't expect anything like a point-for-point drop, but the stickiness of long rates has been remarkable.
Brad DeLong provides a link, and a quick explanation of why -- contrary to the protestations coming from the vicinity of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue -- expected deficits increase interest rates and thus depress long-run economic growth.
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