Well, Ollie, ain’t that a revoltin’ devlopment!
I’ll raise my hand now and admit that I was expecting the Democrats to outperform their polling. Apparently, no such luck. Looks as if racism was a good strategy for the GOP.
Donnelly is losing Indiana; both Florida races are too close to call; no surprising House pickups so far; a couple of promising candidates have lost. And if we had to win one possibly marginal Senate seat, did it have to be that crook Menendez?
538 now projects only a 60% chance that the Democrats will take the House, with an expected gain of 25 seats, and expects a net gain of two Senate seats for Republicans.
8:49: HAP–I suppose it’s a good thing that Menendez was reelected in NJ. A real embarrassment. I know it’s a good thing that Florida has voted to restore the voting rights of more than 1 million former felons.
Less than 100,000 vote margin in Fla gov race. Republicans well-positioned to win both Florida races, as Mike Grunwald warned months ago.
O’Rourke doing well in early voting, but it’s hard to know.
8:54. Republicans picked up Indiana Senate seat.
Democrats seem to be under-performing overall polling numbers. Not a great night so far.
8:58 MSNBC projecting that Democrats will 224+/-8, with 65% chance of winning majority.
8:59: Manchin held on….
9pm: Cruz has slight lead, but too early to call. Abbott held on in governor.
Wis governorship too close. Tammy Baldwin reelected.
9:04 Marsha Blackburn won in Tennessee. Gillum has a big hill to climb in Florida.
538 gives Democrats 56% chance of taking House. Looks like MS will go to a special election.
As depressing as tonight is, Democrats now at 57% probability of taking the House.
Striking that Democrats who ran as Democrats were sometimes disappointed. Democrats who ran as Republicans were also sometimes disappointed. McCaskill voted against Kavanaugh but also expressed anti-immigrant sentiment.
[We are adjourning to the top of the hour.]