Obama’s job performance rating in the Gallup tracking poll just it 54/42. He hasn’t been at that level since November of 2009.
Yes, that’s national adults, not likely voters, and yes, that’s pre-debate.
But no incumbent with that approval level is going to fail of re-election.
Or, to put the point slightly differently:
A source close to the campaign tells me Obama took a dive against Romney last night for two reasons:
1. He wanted to counteract what he saw as increasing overconfidence among the troops.
2. He felt a little sorry for the poor son-of-a-b!tch, who’s trying s-o-o-o-o-o hard and is s-o-o-o-o-o unlikeable.