If I had to make a living by correctly predicting political outcomes, I’d starve. (Ask President Gore and President Kerry.) So when I say that the Democrats ought to make Sarah Palin the issue for this November, my opinion ought to trade at a hefty discount.
But Mark Ambinder does political analysis for a living, so when he says the same thing you should pay attention. The “small gummint” shtick, no matter how bogus it is, has real resonance with swing voters. But they’re mostly over the culture wars, and Palin is the culture-war candidate extraordinaire.
Whatever else a President can or can’t do, he can always make news. And of course the 24-hour news cycle lives on interpersonal conflict. “Obama Attacks Palin” is a great headline. He can, and should, do it gently, and with humor. But this can’t be left entirely to subordinates. We need to haul out the big gun.