Other than Obama and Huckabee, John McCain is supposed to have been the big winner tonight; by seemingly hulling S.S. Romney below the waterline, Iowa’s voters opened the way for a McCain victory in New Hampshire.
NH is a semi-open-primary state, and McCain has an edge among independents. That’s his ace in the hole against Romney’s cash and name recognition. But after Obama’s performance, I’d expect Granite State independents to be flocking to his banner, not McCain’s. And if the Republican primary is left almost entirely to Republican voters, I’m not sure McCain can beat Romney.