Kevin Drum had it right the first time. Horserace polling for November doesn’t mean much at this stage. But favorability/unfavorability matters.
Now, given the choice between going in two points up on the opponent in net favorability or thirteen points down, which would I choose? Hmmmmmmm …. wait …. don’t rush me. This is a hard one.
Of course, by the time the Clinton machine gets done reminding voters that her black, naive, inexperienced black opponent with a Muslim middle name who went to a madrassa and now goes to a black church whose black pastor isn’t ashamed of being black and who used drugs and maybe dealt drugs like all the other black people shucking and jiving their way through life, maybe they’ll manage to so damage Obama that he, too, (being black and all) would have trouble beating McCain.