Kevin Drum doubts that my organizing approach would work. I tentatively disagree in an update to my previous post.
My key premise is that Obama will have, not just supporters, but fans, who if organized properly will turn out in large numbers, but who still mostly wouldn’t be willing to drive themselves to a strange place on a Sunday evening to spend four hours taking part in a process they don’t really understand. My claim is that many of those people, if asked in advance to commit to turning out, will make that commitment, and that when the Obama van shows up at their doorstep as promised that Sunday they will get on the van.
What’s needed, on this theory, isn’t persuasion, but organization and logistics. And the Obama campaign will have enough money to be able to provide them.