July 15th, 2005

Mike O’Hare is puzzled and dismayed:

Maj. Gen. Zhu Chenghu, three stars short of a full set if Chinese ranks match ours, but still an important guy, proposes that China should be willing to lose “all our cities east of Xian” (which means every Chinese city you’ve ever heard of except Chongqing) in a nuclear exchange with the US if we intervene in any military conflict over Taiwan.

What makes this important is that, obviously, someone more important than Zhu in the Chinese hierarchy thought this idea should be out and about.

The idea that it could possibly be better for anyone in the world–Chinese people, Chinese leadership, Gen. Zhu, anyone–that China should start from scratch with half its territory uninhabitable desert in order to have political control over a similarly devastated Taiwan, a place demonstrably happy to sell the value it creates peacably, is so crazy it’s hard to engage. But it symbolizes the insanity to which a pit-bull adhesion to principle (in this case, that “Taiwan is part of China”) can lead otherwise reasonable people.

Recall the blood spilled to affirm that Algeria was “part of France métropolitaine”. I’ve always thought the idea that the war in Iraq was “about oil” implausible because that oil would be so much cheaper to buy than to conquer, but maybe some such monomania was operating in that case on our side.

The substitution of an abstraction for real thinking about reality must be one of the truly evil tendencies in human affairs, right up there with analyzing practical realities without principles or a capacity to abstract.

Not only three stars short of a full set, but at least a couple of bricks shy of a full load, I’d say. Mike misses my favorite example: the Falklands War.

Of course, there can be a rationality underlying apparent irrationality: if your opponents think you’re stark, staring bonkers they may do what you want, or refrain from doing what you don’t want, because they’re afraid of you.

Comments are closed.