Kerry, veterans, and the active military

No, Kerry actually isn’t doing better among veterans than Gore did four years ago.

Turns out my guess that Kerry’s six-point deficit among veterans represented an improvement over Gore’s performance was wrong.

The Chef at Ragout has the numbers. At least pre-speech, Kerry wasn’t doing any better among veterans (even Vietnam-era veterans) than Gore did four years ago, according to the Pew survey.

That doesn’t mean Kerry’s emphasis on his service record is a mistake: the audience for that is much wider than veterans. But it isn’t good news.

Related query: I wonder how Kerry is doing among active-duty and reserve servicemembers and their families? It wouldn’t be surprising if they were feeling mistreated, and they might be willing to give a Democrat a look, especially a Democrat wrapped in the flag.

Update: The Carpetbagger report reports progress: the CBS poll over the weekend had Kerry slightly ahead of Bush among veterans.

Author: Mark Kleiman

Professor of Public Policy at the NYU Marron Institute for Urban Management and editor of the Journal of Drug Policy Analysis. Teaches about the methods of policy analysis about drug abuse control and crime control policy, working out the implications of two principles: that swift and certain sanctions don't have to be severe to be effective, and that well-designed threats usually don't have to be carried out. Books: Drugs and Drug Policy: What Everyone Needs to Know (with Jonathan Caulkins and Angela Hawken) When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment (Princeton, 2009; named one of the "books of the year" by The Economist Against Excess: Drug Policy for Results (Basic, 1993) Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control (Greenwood, 1989) UCLA Homepage Curriculum Vitae Contact: Markarkleiman-at-gmail.com

One thought on “Kerry, veterans, and the active military”

  1. Veteran voters

    I guess it's inevitable, given that the Democratic National Convention sometimes had the aura of a regimental reunion, that there'd be a lot of discussion about the impact of the veteran's vote this year. Looking at a pre-convention Pew study, Mark K…

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