I recall seeing a wonderful study in which people were asked to numerically estimate the risks faced by “the average driver” and the driving risks the respondents themselves faced. As I recall, something like 90% thought that their own risks were below the risks faced by “the average driver,” suggesting that for some purposes we all live in Lake Wobegon. [Of course, the distinction between the median and the mean has some work to do here: if driving risks are highly concentrated, then it might be the case that the median driver was at much less than “average” (mean) risk.]
Can any kind reader point me to the study in question, or other empirical studies of optimistic biases? If so, please send an email to [my last name] [“at” sign] [four letter acronym for University California Los Angeles] [dot] [three-letter trailer for an EDUcational institution].
Please don’t use the “contact” button to the right; after receiving several thousand spam messages one day, I just gave up. Doesn’t spamming make it obvious that capital punishment is sometimes not only justified but morally required?