January 26th, 2004

ARG and Zogby still seem to be polling different races, but Clark isn’t doing well in either one. Dean coming back. Clark looks stronger in Feb. 3 states.

ARG New Hampshire tracking

3-Day Results Jan 23-25

Kerry 38 (even)

Dean 20 (+4)

Edwards 16 (+1)

Clark 15 (+2)

Lieberman 5 (even)

Kucinich 1 (even)

Sharpton 0 (even)

Other 0 (even)

Undecided 1 (-4)

Zogby New Hampsire tracking

1/23-25

Kerry 31 (+1)

Dean 28 (+5)

Clark 13 (even)

Edwards 12 (+3)

Lieberman 9 (even)

Kucinich 2 (even)

Sharpton 1 (even)

Undecided 3 (-10) (undecideds pushed)

ARG South Carolina

January compared to December

Edwards 21 (+13)

Kerry 17 (+15)

Sharpton 15 (+3)

Clark 14 (+2)

Howard Dean 9 (-7)

Lieberman 5 (-2)

Kucinich 1 (even)

Undecided 29 (-9)

ARG Oklahoma

January v. December

Clark 23 (+2)

Edwards 18 (+15)

Kerry 17 (+15)

Dean 8 (-16)

Lieberman 10 (+1)

Kucinich 1 (even)

Sharpton 1 (even)

Undecided 22 (-12)

ARG Arizona

January v. December

Kerry 24 (+18)

Clark 21 (+6)

Edwards 15 (+14)

Dean 10 (-16)

Lieberman 7 (-2)

Kucinich 0 (-1)

Sharpton 0 (even)

Undecided 23 (-12)

Rasmussen national tracking

Kerry 32 (+1)

Dean 16 (+2)

Edwards 14 (-1)

Clark 12 (-2)

Lieberman 9 (+1)

Kucinich 3 (+1)

Sharpton 1 (even)

Not Sure 16 (+2)

Iowa electronic markets winner-take-all nomination contract:

Kerry 50.2-52 (bid down 5)

ROF (includes Edwards) 20.2-21.9 (bid down 0.2)

Dean 19-19.4 (up 7)

Clark 7.8-9.5 (down 0.3)

Lieberman 1.2-1.9 (down 0.1)

Clinton 1.1-1.8 (down 0.1)

Tradesports nomination market

Kerry 56.0-57.9 (bid up 0.4)

Edwards 20.2-24.9 (bid up 1.2)

Dean 16-17 (bid up 5.5)

Field (includes Clark) 5.9-8.5 (down 2.4)

Clinton 1.2-2.0 (even)

Lieberman 0.3-1.3 (down 1.1)

Tradesports New Hampshire market

Kerry 76-81 (bid down 4.1)

Dean 20-23 (bid up 7)

Edwards 1-2.7 (down 2.2)

Field (includes Clark) 0.1-3 (0.9)

Tradesports Bush re-election

67.1-68.5 (bid up 0.5)

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