The Reality-Based Community

Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts.

  • Home
  • About
  • Cannabis Science & Policy Summit
  • MJ Legalization: The Book
  • BOTEC Analysis
You are here: Home / Today’s numbers: Friday

Today’s numbers: Friday

January 23, 2004 By Mark Kleiman @markarkleiman

Zogby, ARG see opposite trends for Clark in NH. The markets seem to believe Zogby.

ARG New Hampshire tracking

3-Day Results Jan 20-22

Kerry 31 (+4)

Clark 20 (+1)

Dean 18% (-4)

Edwards 11 (+2)

Lieberman 7 (even)

Kucinich 1 (even)

Undecided 12 (-2)

ARG comments:

Howard Dean’s favorable is now at 31%, his unfavorable is 42%, and 27% are aware of Dean but undecided. Yesterday, Dean’s favorable was 33%, his unfavorable was 30%, and 37% were undecided. Of the 31% with a favorable opinion of Dean, 28% say they will vote for Dean and 32% say they will vote for John Kerry.

Kerry’s favorable is 77%, his unfavorable is 14%, and 9% are undecided. Wesley Clark’s favorable is 49%, his unfavorable is 19%, and 32% are undecided. John Edward’s favorable is 56%, his unfavorable is 14%, and 30% are undecided. Joe Lieberman’s favorable is 49%, his unfavorable is 30%, and 21% are undecided.

Zogby New Hampsire tracking

Jan 20-22

John Kerry 30 (+3)

Howard Dean 22 (-2)

Clark 14 (-1)

Edwards 7 (-1)

Lieberman 6 (even)

Kucinich 1 (even)

Undecided 17 (even)

Rasmussen national tracking

Three-day results, compared to two-day results from yesterday:

Kerry 29% (even)

Edwards 17% (+1)

Dean 14% (even)

Clark 11% (-1)

Lieberman 9% (+1)

Sharpton 2% (-1)

Kucinich 3% (+1)

Other 2% (even)

Not Sure 16% (even)

Iowa electronic markets winner-take-all nomination contract:

Kerry 50-59.7 (bid up 6)

ROF (includes Edwards) 18.9-20 (down 3.8)

Clark 10.3-13.9 (down 5.8)

Dean 13.4-14.5 (up 3)

Clinton 1.4-1.8 (down 0.2)

Lieberman 2-2.4 (up 0.6)

Tradesports nomination market

Kerry 50-54.9 (bid up 2.5)

Edwards 20.22 (down 0.8)

Dean 14.5-16 (bid down 1)

Field (includes Clark) 8.8-17 (down 3.3)

Clinton 2-2.9 (down 0.3)

Lieberman 0.3-1.4 (down 0.5)

Tradesports New Hampshire market

Kerry 78-81 (bid up 5)

Dean 13-15 (bid down 5.1)

Field (includes Clark) 5.6-6.5 (even)

Edwards 1-4.9 (up 0.9)

Tradesports Bush re-election

66.6-68.9 (bid down 0.5)

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Popular Posts of the Week

  • Advice to Alex M
  • Unlearning How White People Ask Personal Questions
  • Television Was Not Always a Vast Wasteland
  • The Secret Dubbing of Audrey Hepburn in My Fair Lady
  • Witnessing Violence and Death: What Happens to People and How Can They Be Helped?

Blogroll

  • Balloon Juice
  • The Belgravia Dispatch
  • Brad DeLong
  • Cop in the ‘hood
  • Crooked Timber
  • Crooks and Liars
  • Echidne of the Snakes
  • Firedoglake
  • A Fistful of Euros
  • Healthinsurance.org Blog
  • Horizons
  • How Appealing
  • The Incidental Economist
  • Informed Comment — Juan Cole
  • Jonathan Bernstein
  • Kevin Drum
  • Marginal Revolution – Tyler Cowen
  • Marijuana Monitor
  • The Moderate Voice
  • Obsidian Wings
  • Patheos
  • Philosoraptor
  • Plato o Plomo – Alejandro Hope
  • Political Animal
  • Politics Upside Down
  • Progressive Blog Digest
  • Progressive Blue
  • Slacktivist
  • Snopes
  • Strange Doctrines
  • Ta-Nehisi Coates
  • The Volokh Conspiracy (Washington Post)
  • Vox Pop

Recent Posts

  • Does cannabis availability help prevent opioid overdoses?
  • Television Was Not Always a Vast Wasteland
  • Home
  • “I take it the answer is: ‘No comment’?”
  • There’s ordinary genius. Then there’s this video

Archives

Topic Areas

Copyright © 2017 The Reality-Based Community  •  Designed & Developed by ReadyMadeWeb LLC