The New Republic’s &c offers a cautionary note to the “Dean is inevitable” school of thought: if Kerry collapses, as he appears to be doing in New Hampshire, Clark is the obvious beneficiary. It seems to me that the same is true of Edwards and Lieberman, the other two likely early casualties. All of those votes ought to be much more available to Clark than to Dean (or Gephardt). Given the media limelight that’s been on Dean for a couple of months now and his resulting high voter ID, his failure to pull away from the pack in national polls suggests to me he that may be better at assembling a army and raising money than at attracting votes.
And speaking of raising money, TNR suggests something I hadn’t heard before: that Clark may actually out-raise Dean in the fourth quarter. Now that would be an impressive performance.